Will Labour win an outright majority in 2029?
YES 68%NO 32%
Will the BoE cut rates in June 2025?
YES 54%NO 46%
Will the EU impose tariffs on US goods above 15%?
YES 61%NO 39%
Will Scotland hold an independence referendum before 2030?
YES 24%NO 76%
Coming soon to the UK

Predict what
happens next.

The UK's prediction market. Trade real-money positions on politics, economics, and world events — and get rewarded for being right.

✓ You're on the list. We'll be in touch.

No spam. Early access for waitlist members.

142+
Markets at launch
FCA
Regulated founders
£0
To sign up
How it works

Simple. Transparent. Fair.

Prediction markets let the crowd price the probability of future events. If you know more than the market, you profit.

1
Pick a market
Browse hundreds of markets on UK politics, global economics, climate targets, and more. Every market resolves to a clear YES or NO.
2
Take a position
Buy YES or NO shares with real money. The price reflects the market's collective probability estimate — from 1p to 99p per share.
3
Get paid if right
When the event resolves, winning shares pay out £1 each. The earlier you call it, the bigger your return.
Sample markets

What will you trade?

Markets built around the events that matter most to informed British and European audiences.

🗳️
Will Labour win an outright majority at the 2029 general election?
YES 68%NO 32%
£84.2k
volume
🏦
Will the Bank of England cut interest rates in June 2025?
YES 54%NO 46%
£112k
volume
🇪🇺
Will the EU impose retaliatory tariffs on US goods above 15% before end of 2025?
YES 61%NO 39%
£48.2k
volume
🌿
Will the UK government hit its net zero 2030 electricity targets?
YES 42%NO 58%
£29.5k
volume
Why Ayes

Built for Britain

Prediction markets done properly — regulated, transparent, and focused on what matters to UK and European audiences.

🏛️
Regulated from day one
Founded by FCA-authorised senior managers with deep UK regulatory expertise. Built to comply, not to evade.
💷
Sterling, not crypto
Deposit and withdraw in pounds. No wallets, no gas fees, no USDC. Just a clean fiat product for normal people.
📊
Real price discovery
Our markets aggregate the wisdom of thousands of informed participants into a single probability — more accurate than polls.
🔓
Open data API
Journalists, researchers, and hedge funds can access our probability feeds. The data has value beyond trading.

Be first to trade.

Join the waitlist for early access, lower fees, and founder-tier status when we launch.

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